How you can devise a wise promoting plan and see actual tech IPO examples you possibly can be taught from.
WIth its 2021 rise and 2022 crash, the inventory market has been fairly a curler coaster these previous couple of years.
In case your employer went public round 2020, you realize firsthand simply how unpredictable the market could be. And there’s an opportunity you didn’t promote your shares in 2021 and watched your place’s worth plummet the next yr. If that’s the case, you’re not alone; I’ve seen many professionals who regretfully held onto their shares as costs dropped and watched their desires of an enormous payday fall into the ether. However there’s excellent news: Inventory market situations are lastly beginning to enhance and you’ve got a second likelihood at promoting your shares at a superb value.
Nevertheless, the one approach you possibly can obtain completely different outcomes this time round is to interrupt freed from your default method to promoting shares. Shifting your mindset may really feel uncomfortable, but it surely’s not as painful as struggling one other misplaced alternative.
Don’t fear, you don’t must fend for your self. On this submit, I’ll present you find out how to develop your plan to promote so that you could make doubtlessly life-changing cash and keep away from repeating the errors of yesteryear.
Disclaimer: Earlier than we dive head-first into the subject, I need to be clear that this weblog submit is meant to easily share my ideas round contemplating when to promote your shares after an IPO. This submit is in regards to the common method and philosophy of how a tech worker ought to suppose by means of growing a gross sales plan. This data ought to complement, quite than substitute, skilled monetary recommendation that I extremely encourage you to hunt.
A optimistic outlook for current tech IPOs
In March, I wrote about find out how to lower your losses after using the tech inventory dips. In that submit, I made examples of Twilio (TWLO) and Okta (OKTA) shares, which made their public debuts a number of years in the past, at a time when the IPO market was frozen. These examples are nonetheless related at this time, contemplating the IPO market has been frozen for 18 months and we’re hoping it’ll thaw quickly.
Although each Twilio and Okta shares have unfavorable one-year returns on the writing of this submit, there are nonetheless optimistic indicators we could possibly be getting into into one other bull market. Simply take a look at Cava (CAVA), which not too long ago went public and has encouraging stock performance to point out for it. I’ve additionally been eyeing the Renaissance Capital IPO ETF, which is doing really well this yr — higher than the market as a complete.
This optimistic outlook underscores the significance of placing collectively a gross sales technique in your inventory that went public in 2020 or 2021 now. If this optimistic upswing continues, you’ll need to be ready to doubtlessly promote. The very last thing you need is to overlook one other likelihood to promote when your inventory is excessive.
We’ll take a better take a look at three different shares’ efficiency and focus on promoting methods for each. However first, you’ll need to know three key numbers.
3 numbers that ought to inform your plan
Once I meet with tech workers who’ve a place of shares of their present or former firm, one of many predominant duties we sort out collectively is figuring out good alternatives for them to promote.
I begin by pulling up the inventory chart on-line, utilizing a web site like morningstar.com (I’m not affiliated, only a blissful person!). From there, I deal with three key numbers, and you need to too:
1. All-time highs and lows
Since I usually cope with corporations which have solely been publicly traded for a number of years, I first take a look at their all-time highs and lows. Although this metric shouldn’t be as necessary as the opposite ones I think about, viewing a inventory’s highest and lowest factors can function a reminder of what the inventory is able to doing. Figuring out your inventory can unexpectedly plummet will help you guard towards repeating the error of not promoting in 2021. Keep in mind, the inventory market can drop a lot sooner than it may rise.
2. 52-week excessive and low
A metric that’s extra informative and useful in figuring out when to promote is your inventory’s 52-week excessive and low. When trying on the inventory’s efficiency, ask your self how its value at this time matches into the historical past of the inventory’s final twelve months.Discovering your inventory’s excessive and low factors from the final yr is simpler than you suppose. This data is available on the iPhone Inventory app, listed as “52W H” and “52W L.”
3. Cut up value
From there, I like to recommend calculating the cut up value, which is the median between the 52-week excessive and low costs. Be happy to plug your numbers into this easy components: [ (52W H — 52W L) / 2 + 52W L = split price. Now that you’ve calculated your split price, compare it to the stock’s current price. If the stock’s price today is higher than the split price, that makes it a good price to sell (and vice versa). You always want to sell above the split price if you can.